Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227409          16          48          32           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000834768          15          45          33           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   8.30556e-08           6          63          28           3           0        B4.1
est. ISN   =             5          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            22.00       49.00       25.50        3.50        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.6