Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227141          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000828453          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   5.83226e-08          26          64          10           0           0        B1.8
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.75       49.25       21.00        3.00        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                      B5.4