Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226815          19          47          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000817810          18          45          28           9           0        B5.5
GOES Xray  =   4.17525e-08          55          41           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.75       43.25       17.50        3.50        0.00     B1.9
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)