Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226909          18          48          30           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000819988          15          43          33           9           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.34180e-08          54          42           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            27.25       47.75       21.00        4.00        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)