Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226740          19          46          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000826173          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.66230e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            28.50       46.50       21.50        3.50        0.00     B2.8
 
realized                                                                                      B3.4