Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226623          21          46          29           4           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000823049          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.00027e-08          56          41           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            35.00       43.25       18.50        3.25        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)