Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226943          18          49          30           3           0        B5.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000830228          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.52212e-08          53          43           3           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =            13          20          62          17           1           0        B2.7
 
together                            26.25       49.50       21.00        3.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B2.1