Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227508          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000837842          14          47          32           7           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   6.86618e-08          14          68          17           1           0        B2.7
est. ISN   =            11          22          58          18           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            16.75       55.25       24.50        3.50        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5