Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228663          11          42          44           3           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000862888          13          46          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.65476e-07          12          57          25           6           0        B6.8
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                            10.50       47.25       37.25        4.75        0.25     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.3