Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229675          12          40          39           9           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000876296          11          44          40           5           0        B7.5
GOES Xray  =   2.71177e-07           1          35          58           6           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            42           5          36          52           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             7.25       38.75       47.25        6.25        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      M4.7