Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228258          15          42          40           3           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000856338          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.39968e-07           8          62          29           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            13.00       53.00       31.50        2.50        0.00     B5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2