Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228768          12          44          40           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000863767          13          46          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.84221e-07           7          44          40           9           0        B9.9
est. ISN   =            40           6          44          43           6           1        C1.0
 
together                             9.50       44.50       40.00        5.75        0.25     B8.9
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1