Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229496          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000873965          12          46          37           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.56725e-07           1          30          60           9           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            52           1          18          65          15           1        C2.1
 
together                             6.50       33.50       50.50        9.25        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      B5.0