Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229139          13          41          40           6           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000867391          12          45          39           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   2.04671e-07           2          45          48           5           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            49           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             7.50       37.50       48.50        5.75        0.75     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3