Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229352          13          40          39           8           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000871356          13          44          39           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.36207e-07           4          31          56           9           0        C1.4
est. ISN   =            58           3          18          65          13           1        C2.9
 
together                             8.25       33.25       49.75        8.50        0.25     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C8.3