Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229368          13          40          39           8           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000873501          12          46          37           5           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.13691e-07           2          43          48           7           0        C1.1
est. ISN   =            55           2          22          61          14           1        C2.5
 
together                             7.25       37.75       46.25        8.50        0.25     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1