Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229306          13          40          39           8           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000872120          12          46          38           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   2.38959e-07           3          31          57           9           0        C1.6
est. ISN   =            43           4          35          54           5           2        C1.3
 
together                             8.00       38.00       47.00        6.50        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.3