Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228845          12          43          41           4           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000860804          14          47          34           5           0        B6.9
GOES Xray  =   1.86812e-07           6          44          41           9           0        C1.0
est. ISN   =            19          15          59          23           3           0        B3.6
 
together                            11.75       48.25       34.75        5.25        0.00     B7.2
 
realized                                                                                      B8.0