Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228199          15          42          40           3           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000850135          13          50          30           7           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.28174e-07           7          60          32           1           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            13.25       54.00       29.50        3.25        0.00     B5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1