Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227572          16          49          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000835823          15          46          32           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   9.20552e-08           5          62          29           4           0        B4.7
est. ISN   =             6          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            21.75       49.25       25.25        3.75        0.00     B3.7
 
realized                                                                                      B4.1