Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227153          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000824341          13          44          35           8           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   5.31462e-08          36          56           7           1           0        B1.4
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            29.25       47.00       20.50        3.25        0.00     B2.6
 
realized                                                                                    < B1.0 (no flare)