Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227072          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000822498          13          45          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.92354e-08          46          47           6           1           0        B1.2
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            31.50       45.00       20.50        3.00        0.00     B2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.5