Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227006          18          47          32           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000821742          13          44          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.73753e-08          60          37           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             8          50          41           9           0           0        B1.0
 
together                            35.25       42.25       19.00        3.50        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6