Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227171          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000826915          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   4.94176e-08          45          48           6           1           0        B1.2
est. ISN   =            25           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            20.50       49.25       25.75        4.50        0.00     B4.0
 
realized                                                                                      B8.1