Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227813          15          47          34           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000841591          13          47          33           7           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.14282e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =            39           5          47          41           6           1        B9.6
 
together                            10.00       49.75       35.25        4.75        0.25     B6.9
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8