Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227953          15          46          35           4           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000849659          13          49          31           7           0        B6.6
GOES Xray  =   1.26068e-07           7          63          30           0           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            48           4          21          63           9           3        C2.0
 
together                             9.75       44.75       39.75        5.00        0.75     B8.1
 
realized                                                                                      C1.1