Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227915          15          47          34           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000853329          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.16775e-07           8          58          32           2           0        B5.8
est. ISN   =            44           4          28          60           7           1        C1.5
 
together                            10.25       45.50       40.00        4.00        0.25     B7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M2.8