Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228151          15          43          39           3           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000864487          12          47          37           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.00337e-07           7          60          29           4           0        B5.1
est. ISN   =            29           7          48          38           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            10.25       49.50       35.75        4.50        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6