Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228365          14          41          41           4           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000866917          12          46          38           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.19276e-07           8          57          34           1           0        B6.4
est. ISN   =            27           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                            10.00       49.00       37.00        4.00        0.00     B6.9
 
realized                                                                                      B4.5