Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229318          13          40          39           8           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000884665           7          40          45           8           0        C1.3
GOES Xray  =   2.65870e-07           1          30          62           7           0        C1.5
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             6.50       36.50       49.00        7.50        0.50     C1.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.8