Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228500          11          43          42           4           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000868716          13          45          38           4           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   1.50508e-07          10          61          27           2           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            20          13          57          27           3           0        B4.6
 
together                            11.75       51.50       33.50        3.25        0.00     B6.6
 
realized                                                                                      B4.7