Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228592          11          43          42           4           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000867643          12          45          39           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.44054e-07          10          62          27           1           0        B6.9
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            12.50       53.25       31.25        3.00        0.00     B6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6