Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228255          15          43          39           3           0        B6.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000858947          14          49          33           4           0        B6.0
GOES Xray  =   1.22809e-07           8          60          32           0           0        B5.7
est. ISN   =            14          18          64          16           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            13.75       54.00       30.00        2.25        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8