Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228050          14          45          37           4           0        B6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000852499          13          49          35           3           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   1.03189e-07           7          58          31           4           0        B5.3
est. ISN   =            15          19          62          17           2           0        B2.8
 
together                            13.25       53.50       30.00        3.25        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B7.6