Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227878          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000844855          13          49          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.06957e-07           7          59          31           3           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            23           8          55          31           6           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.00       52.50       31.50        5.00        0.00     B5.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3