Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227889          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000847470          12          50          31           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   1.13031e-07           7          58          33           2           0        B5.6
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            13.00       54.50       28.50        4.00        0.00     B5.3
 
realized                                                                                      B4.3