Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227689          17          47          32           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000842186          13          47          33           7           0        B7.1
GOES Xray  =   7.85720e-08           9          68          20           3           0        B3.5
est. ISN   =            10          29          51          18           2           0        B2.5
 
together                            17.00       53.25       25.75        4.00        0.00     B4.1
 
realized                                                                                      B9.5