Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227311          16          47          33           4           0        B5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000831881          15          44          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.04948e-08          24          61          14           1           0        B2.1
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.50       48.00       22.50        3.00        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B9.7