Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227340          17          48          31           4           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000830098          14          44          34           8           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   6.02743e-08          23          62          14           1           0        B2.0
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            26.25       48.50       22.00        3.25        0.00     B2.7
 
realized                                                                                      B1.6