Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00227075          16          48          33           3           0        B5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000825159          13          46          34           7           0        B6.8
GOES Xray  =   3.36045e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             0          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            35.25       42.50       19.50        2.75        0.00     B2.1
 
realized                                                                                      B1.8