Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00226970          18          48          31           3           0        B5.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000820864          14          43          33          10           0        B7.0
GOES Xray  =   3.10688e-08          61          36           2           1           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
est. ISN   =             7          51          40           9           0           0      < B1.0 (no flare)
 
together                            36.00       41.75       18.75        3.50        0.00     B2.0
 
realized                                                                                      B4.6