Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229587          12          40          40           8           0        B8.4
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000877769          11          44          40           5           0        B7.9
GOES Xray  =   2.47944e-07           4          38          50           8           0        C1.2
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             8.00       39.50       45.00        7.00        0.50     C1.1
 
realized                                                                                      C8.5