Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232071           7          42          45           6           0        C1.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000922454           6          48          40           6           0        B9.3
GOES Xray  =   4.99555e-07           2           1          61          35           1        C6.1
est. ISN   =            62           5          14          59          20           2        C3.5
 
together                             5.00       26.25       51.25       16.75        0.75     C2.5
 
realized                                                                                      C8.5