Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230537          11          41          37          11           0        B9.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000905297           6          50          35           9           0        B8.8
GOES Xray  =   3.60353e-07           2           5          75          18           0        C2.8
est. ISN   =            51           1          17          68          13           1        C2.2
 
together                             4.75       28.50       53.75       12.75        0.25     C1.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5