Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230219          11          42          38           9           0        B7.1
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000899738           4          45          41          10           0        C1.0
GOES Xray  =   3.12476e-07           3          11          76          10           0        C1.9
est. ISN   =            47           4          23          62           9           2        C1.9
 
together                             5.50       30.25       54.25        9.50        0.50     C1.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.9