Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230702          11          40          38          11           0        B9.7
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000909740           5          53          34           8           0        B8.2
GOES Xray  =   3.51854e-07           3           4          76          17           0        C2.5
est. ISN   =            41           5          36          50           7           2        C1.3
 
together                             6.00       33.25       49.50       10.75        0.50     C1.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2