Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229304          13          40          39           8           0        B7.9
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000882782           7          42          44           7           0        C1.2
GOES Xray  =   1.79521e-07           9          43          40           8           0        B9.8
est. ISN   =            31           5          47          40           8           0        B9.8
 
together                             8.50       43.00       40.75        7.75        0.00     B9.6
 
realized                                                                                      M1.5