Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228812          12          43          41           4           0        B7.0
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000870809          13          44          39           4           0        B7.3
GOES Xray  =   1.50755e-07          10          61          27           2           0        B7.0
est. ISN   =            21          12          52          33           3           0        B6.5
 
together                            11.75       50.00       35.00        3.25        0.00     B6.8
 
realized                                                                                      C2.3