Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228562          11          43          42           4           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000857249          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.29549e-07           6          60          33           1           0        B6.5
est. ISN   =            17          17          63          17           3           0        B2.9
 
together                            12.00       53.75       31.50        2.75        0.00     B5.6
 
realized                                                                                      B7.1