Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228626          11          43          42           4           0        B7.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000854300          14          49          34           3           0        B6.3
GOES Xray  =   1.27850e-07           7          60          32           1           0        B6.0
est. ISN   =            22           8          54          34           4           0        B6.5
 
together                            10.00       51.50       35.50        3.00        0.00     B6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2